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Study of some climate characteristic parameters variability over the territory of Georgia based on regional climate prediction modeling ensemble system (N FR17_548 )


Funded by

SRNSFGShota Rustaveli National Science Foundation of Georgia

Start Date: 2017-12-20       End Date: 2020-12-20

Climate change on the territory of Georgia is characterized by variety. As on the whole territory of Georgia takes place multiplicity forms of the climate trends, the overall goal of the project is to find constantly acting thermal, advective-dynamic and anthropogenic factors, which stipulate climate diversity on the territory of Georgia. Achievement of this goal is planned by modern ensemble of regional climate prediction system (ERCPS) within the different CMIP5 GCMs and climate change scenarios for future climate projections, downscaled by regional models and statistical techniques. To carry out the project goal the project is split into a number of scientific and technological objectives with its own operational aims. The project proposal after its fulfillment will make major scientific contribution in climate change field above the territory of Georgia. For the first time there will be predicted longtime climate change scenarios through the use of ERCPS above the territory of Georgia. For the first time there will be reduced uncertainties in climate predictions over the territory of Caucasus through development and validation of ERCPS and techniques. The new results obtained during the project implementation will be disseminated to scientists, policy makers, and citizens through the Internet, publications, data distribution, workshops, education and training seminars.

Project members:

Talks

  • Study of Local Scale Convection Forecasts by Different Physical Options of WRF Model and READY System above Complex Terrain, by Teimurazi Davitashvili (Speaker), Inga Samkharadze at X Annual International Conference of the Georgian Mathematical Union, 2019, Batumi, Georgia.
  • Modeling of Extreme Events and Regional Climate Variability on the Territory of Caucasus (Georgia), by Teimurazi Davitashvili (Speaker) at Fourth International Conference on Applications of Mathematics and Informatics in Natural Sciences and Engineering (AMINSE), 2019, Tbilisi, Georgia.
  • Modelling of the Caucasus Glacier transformation based on one simple model , by Teimurazi Davitashvili (Speaker) at XXXIV Enlarged Sessions of the Seminar of Ilia Vekua Institute of Applied Mathematics of Ivane Javakhisvili Tbilisi State University, 2020, Tbilisi, Georgia.
  • Numerical Simulation of Glacier Adaptation to Region, by Teimurazi Davitashvili (Speaker) at Sixth International Conference on Applications of Mathematics and Informatics in Natural Sciences and Engineering (AMINSE 2021) , 2021, Tbilisi, Georgia.

Publications

  • Teimurazi Davitashvili, Nato Kutaladze, Lika Megrelidze, Giorgi Mikuchadze, Inga Samkharadze, Ramaz Kvatadze, N. Gogichaishvili, Evaluation of multi-model hindcasts for land surface air temperature over Georgia, Annals of Agrarian Science Vol.18, No 4, 507–520, Agricultural University of Georgia, 2020.
  • Teimurazi Davitashvili, Lika Megrelidze, Inga Samkharadze, Ramaz Kvatadze, N. Gogichaishvili, Nato Kutaladze, Giorgi Mikuchadze, Future scenarios of air temperature maximums and minimums for Georgia based on statistical downscaling, Annals of Agrarian Science, 18, 3, 314-331, Agricultural University of Georgia, 2020.
  • Teimurazi Davitashvili, Inga Samkharadze, Study of Aeolian transfer of mineral dust from deserts to the territory of Georgia, Arabian Journal of Geosciences 14, 67, Springer, 2021.